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| Istanbul -European side Bosphorus |
Tourism representatives have said 2016 has been “much worse” than the
predicted “worst case scenario,” noting the revenue loss in the sector
would likely surge to $12 billion over the year.
The current problems, which have risen amid escalating security concerns and a significant decrease in the number of
Russian
tourists, will likely impact other sectors, including the agriculture
sector, and push up the unemployment rate across the country, according
to sector representatives.
The head of the
Antalya Chamber of Trade and Industry (ATSO), Davut Çetin, said the number of
Russian
tourists has almost zeroed over this year and they expected a
significant drop in the number of arrivals from Europe, mainly from
Germany, after a series of terror attacks which recently hit Turkey.
He noted the organization submitted various scenarios to the government after the
Russian crisis erupted, but only optimistic scenarios were shared with the public.
“We are at a point which is much worse than what we had earlier
predicted in our worst case scenario,” he noted at a meeting late March
18.
The vice president of the organization and the head of the
Mediterranean Touristic Hoteliers’ Association (AKTOB), Yusuf
Hacısüleyman, said they predicted a loss of $8 billion in revenue in
their previous scenario upon the predicted loss of around 4 million
tourists following the jet crisis with Russia, by presuming the spending
per capita at $1,000 plus the multiplier effect at 1.87.
“With
the addition of the expected losses from the European market, we have
now revised our potential revenue losses to $12 billion,” he said one
day before another terror attack in Istanbul, which killed at least four
foreign nationals in central Istanbul on March 19.
Hacısüleyman
said the rising number of security warnings for Turkey by Western
countries has spurred further losses in the sector, noting that the
German Travel Association (DRV) canceled a four-day meeting scheduled in April in the Aegean resort of Kuşadası.
“When
travel agencies canceled their meetings over security concerns, we
cannot wait for arrivals from Germany to Turkey,” he added.
He
noted that the number of European tourists may decline by almost half
over this year, adding that the number of Iranian tourists is expected
to decrease to 30,000 over this year from around 45,000 last year.
Spain
will lure much more tourists than it did earlier this year, and may
reach around 80 million tourists, according to sector representatives.
Another popular destination will be Greece, they added.
Çetin noted many hoteliers would not open their hotels this year, and around 80,000-100,000 job losses are expected in
Antalya alone.
He
said the problems in the tourism sector have already started to
spillover to other sectors, mainly the agricultural sector, and the
losses will become more visible by May and the following months.
Read more: Turkish tourism sector expects $12 bln loss in revenue - TOURISM