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| Carles Puigdemont: "to be or not to be?" |
Spain’s Senate on Friday voted to grant Madrid powers to impose
direct rule on Catalonia, shortly after the semi-autonomous region’s
parliament approved a motion declaring independence
.
Herewith are five questions about what it means to make a unilateral declaration of independence:
Known by its acronym UDI, the term was first coined in 1965 when the
former Rhodesia’s minority white government declared unilateral
independence from British colonial rule.
The process itself is when a
new state is established within an existing country, declaring itself
sovereign and independent without the consent of the entity, country or
state from which it is seceding.
“Any entity has the right to declare its independence. But to become a
state that of course requires a territory, a population and
authorities,” said Jean-Claude Piris, a Brussels-based international law
consultant and former EU legal services director for 23 years.
“But what matters most is recognition by the international
community,” he said. “Everyone has the right to issue a declaration of
independence, but that in itself has no international consequence.”
Piris said very few countries will recognize Catalonia and “I guarantee you no one will recognize them” in the EU.
“Therefore
it will remain an empty declaration: Catalonia will not be represented
in international organizations, they will not sit in the EU, they will
not be able to do anything and legally they will remain part of Spain,”
he said.
Is Catalonia’s UDI legal and what will happen next: -
“What matters now is what will happen nationally and in the streets,” said Piris.
“Are
there going to be demonstrations, barricades? Will people accept and
submit” if Spain triggers Catalan guardianship . . . “or will there be
violence?”
Spain “experienced a civil war not so long ago and just before World War II,” Piris pointed out.
If
Catalonia becomes an independent state the implications “cannot be
underestimated” said Narin Idriz, a researcher at the Hague-based Asser
Institute
.
“All European Union member states cherish their
territorial integrity, they will not want the same thing to happen to
them, therefore it will be very difficult to find any support,” she
said.
Bottom-line: at this point deposed Catalan leader Mr. Carles
Puigdemont declaration of independence is not recognized by any
country, and he personally risks arrest if he continues to defy the
Spanish Constitution.
EU-Digest